Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.046255 0.050319 0.054436 0.058911 0.063632 0.068456 0.073752
2025-06-29 0.039605 0.045538 0.051765 0.058764 0.066384 0.074403 0.083455
2025-07-06 0.035769 0.043161 0.051163 0.060409 0.070736 0.081860 0.094688
2025-07-13 0.031363 0.039653 0.048895 0.059852 0.072379 0.086152 0.102335
2025-07-20 0.028162 0.037169 0.047480 0.059986 0.074576 0.090900 0.110382
2025-07-27 0.025918 0.035569 0.046883 0.060882 0.077501 0.096372 0.119191
2025-08-03 0.024303 0.034561 0.046847 0.062322 0.080971 0.102419 0.128644
2025-08-10 0.021184 0.031441 0.044041 0.060241 0.080106 0.103282 0.131972
2025-08-17 0.019167 0.029562 0.042624 0.059724 0.081005 0.106137 0.137571
2025-08-24 0.017357 0.027815 0.041254 0.059153 0.081746 0.108735 0.142818
2025-08-31 0.016677 0.027531 0.041719 0.060864 0.085286 0.114706 0.152122
2025-09-07 0.015834 0.026956 0.041750 0.061979 0.088058 0.119737 0.160306
2025-09-14 0.014833 0.026121 0.041424 0.062649 0.090319 0.124228 0.167970
2025-09-21 0.013704 0.025026 0.040689 0.062739 0.091817 0.127774 0.174500
2025-09-28 0.013262 0.024911 0.041278 0.064579 0.095576 0.134162 0.184577
2025-10-05 0.012092 0.023614 0.040152 0.064056 0.096222 0.136621 0.189784
2025-10-12 0.011234 0.022737 0.039567 0.064225 0.097747 0.140174 0.196353
2025-10-19 0.010676 0.022291 0.039569 0.065178 0.100292 0.145023 0.204560
2025-10-26 0.010315 0.022137 0.039981 0.066693 0.103589 0.150851 0.214031
2025-11-02 0.009002 0.020309 0.037827 0.064516 0.101858 0.150150 0.215195
2025-11-09 0.008212 0.019304 0.036857 0.063976 0.102305 0.152244 0.219901
2025-11-16 0.007473 0.018327 0.035879 0.063379 0.102639 0.154166 0.224376
2025-11-23 0.007322 0.018400 0.036534 0.065173 0.106286 0.160465 0.234520